“What am I going to do?”

This comment from Trump tonight at a rally in Georgia:

It’s good he’s thinking about it, because it’s increasingly likely that it’s going to happen. I find it somewhat comforting that he is contemplating life after being president. In many ways, I think it would be a relief for him, since he didn’t appear to really want the job in the first place. Maybe he will go peacefully (though his supporters are another question).

On the other hand, he loses the prime visibility of being the “leader of the free world,” the ability to violate the emoluments clause repeatedly for his own and his family’s benefit, and, most importantly, whatever immunity from prosecution being president may confer on him. He might want to leave the country just for that reason.

The Trump brand was always pretty sketchy. Now it’s radioactive. But there’re probably still some suckers waiting to be fleeced somewhere in this great big world after he returns to just being “The Donald.”

Your results may vary: Unintended consequences for Republicans

This is surely not SCOTUSblog, but let’s look at two significant court rulings from yesterday:

In both cases, Republicans claimed that their position was the prudent one, noting the deadline crunch in the census case and ballot security issues in the drop-off location case. Opponents claimed that Republicans were trying to restrict the electoral power of minorities, particularly those of Hispanic heritage, by deliberately undercounting them in the census (which could result in states losing seats in Congress, among other issues) and making it more difficult for them to cast their votes.


Blue Arizona, Georgia and Florida toss-ups, Texas only “leaning red”… what planet are we on?

The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics publishes regularly updated predictions on nearly every national and state election race of significance. Their web-based newsletter, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, is named for the center’s director, Larry J. Sabato, and they have an impressive track record of predicting the outcomes of elections going back to 2004 (though they’d prefer not to talk about 2016).

Still, one year ago, could you have imagined an Electoral College map that looks like this one?

Electoral College map showing predictions for the 2020 Presidential Election, done by Sabato's Crystal Ball.

Fringe beliefs and conspiracy theories

Thirteen people have been arrested on charges related to domestic terrorism in Michigan including a plot to kidnap Gov. Gretchen Whitmer so she could be transported to Wisconsin and put on trial for “treason.” Six of those arrested face federal charges and the other seven face state charges.